BULLISH
AI analysis detects bullish confluence across multiple layers including market structure, Smart Money Concepts, and momentum indicators. Price is likely trending or positioned toward higher levels.
BEARISH
AI analysis detects bearish confluence across structural and indicator-based layers. Price is likely trending or positioned toward lower levels.
NEUTRAL
Insufficient confluence to form a directional bias. Market may be consolidating or lacking confirmed structure.
TRANSITION
Market structure is in the process of shifting direction. Neither bullish nor bearish bias is fully confirmed yet — a key level or BOS/CHoCH is needed for clarity.
MANIPULATION
Price is in a liquidity hunt phase — a temporary move against the expected direction designed to trigger stop orders before the true move begins. Associated with PO3 Manipulation phase.
ACCUMULATION
Market is in a range-building phase where institutional positions are being built. Price compression before a directional expansion move.
TRENDING
Price is in a clear directional move with confirmed structure. Higher timeframes and current momentum are aligned in the same direction.
CONFLICTED STRUCTURE
Multiple analytical layers are producing opposing signals with no clear dominant direction. Confidence is typically below 50% in this state.
Strong ●●●●
Confidence 70–100%. Clear analytical picture with multiple confirming signals. Structure, momentum, and higher timeframe alignment are in agreement.
Moderate ●●○○
Confidence 40–69%. Some clarity present, but one or more analytical layers are conflicting. Directional bias is forming but not yet fully confirmed.
Fragile ●○○○
Confidence 0–39%. Insufficient analytical clarity. Multiple conflicting signals or high-impact conditions present. Bias is unreliable in this state.
Decision Label
Analytical state summary shown alongside Conviction: Bias Confirmed (≥70%), Bias Forming (55–69%), Signals Mixed (40–54%), or Low Analytical Clarity (<40%). These are research states, not trade instructions.
Upside Level
A key resistance or breakout watch price above the current level. This is where price may react, reject, or break through depending on structural confirmation. Not a trade entry.
Downside Level
A key support or reaction zone below current price. This level may act as a floor for price or, if broken, signal further downside. Not a trade entry.
Risk Boundary
The structural invalidation level — a significant price point where the current analytical bias fundamentally changes if decisively broken. This is a structural reference, not a stop-loss instruction.
Liquidity Zone
An area where clusters of resting orders are likely concentrated, such as above swing highs (BSL) or below swing lows (SSL). Price often sweeps these zones before reversing.
AI Market Summary
A 2–3 sentence plain-language description of current market conditions, key drivers, and what structure to monitor next. Written by AI in analytical, institutional-grade tone — not a trading recommendation.
Risk Factors
Up to 4 analytical observations flagging conditions that reduce signal reliability — such as high-impact news, off-hours session, conflicting HTF signals, or unconfirmed structure.
Market Context
4 bullet-point observations covering HTF alignment, EMA condition, volume positioning, and session environment — written in natural trader-analyst language.
Scenario Planning
Describes the Bullish Scenario (conditions needed for upside), Bearish Scenario (conditions needed for downside), and Bias Invalidation (what price level or structure change would invalidate the current bias).
Directional Pressure
The underlying momentum direction based on short-term indicators and liquidity dynamics. May differ from Market Bias — for example, Bullish momentum can exist within a Bearish structural bias.
Market State
Describes the character of the current market phase: Trending, Ranging, Transition, Accumulation, Distribution, or Manipulation — often with a descriptor such as (Low Conviction) or (Compression).
Score Insight
A brief explanation of why the confidence level is set at its current value, including any conflict between the composite score direction and the overall bias.
Analysis Validity Window
The countdown timer showing how long the current analysis remains relevant. After expiry, market conditions may have shifted enough to warrant a new analysis.
Confidence %
Reflects how strongly the analytical layers support the current bias. Calibrated against the composite score: Score ±1–2 maps to 40–52%, ±3–4 to 50–62%, ±5+ to 60–75%. Soft reductions apply for conflicted structure or manipulation phase.
Composite Score
A numeric score calculated from all analytical layers combined. Positive values indicate net bullish confluence; negative values indicate net bearish confluence. The score is shown in the Deep Analysis section alongside each contributing factor.
Session / Kill Zone
The active market session at the time of analysis — London Open (07:00–09:00 UTC), New York Open (12:00–14:00 UTC), Overlap (12:00–16:00 UTC), Tokyo (00:00–09:00 UTC), or Off-Hours. Kill Zone active status reflects highest-probability time windows.
HTF Alignment
The degree to which the 4-Hour (H4) and Daily (D1) timeframes agree on directional bias. ALIGNED = both agree, PARTIAL = one neutral, DIVERGING = opposing directions, NEUTRAL = both neutral.
FVG — Fair Value Gap
A price imbalance created during rapid market movement. Forms when a strong directional candle leaves a gap between surrounding candles. Markets frequently return to these zones. Bullish FVGs act as potential support; Bearish FVGs as potential resistance.
OB — Order Block
The final candle before a strong impulsive move, representing an area of likely institutional activity. SiGmatry also detects Breaker Blocks — invalidated Order Blocks that have undergone a role reversal.
PO3 — Power of Three
Three-phase institutional price delivery model: Accumulation (consolidation, position building), Manipulation (temporary move against expected direction to trigger stops), Distribution (expansion toward true objective).
BOS — Break of Structure
Occurs when price breaks a prior swing high (bullish BOS) or swing low (bearish BOS). Confirms continuation of the current structural bias.
CHoCH — Change of Character
The first opposing structural break against the current trend. Signals a potential shift in institutional intent — an early warning before a full structural reversal is confirmed.
BSL / SSL — Buy-Side / Sell-Side Liquidity
BSL refers to clusters of stop orders above swing highs. SSL refers to clusters below swing lows. Price frequently sweeps these levels to fill institutional orders before reversing — introducing reversal risk.
Liquidity Sweep
Occurs when price temporarily moves through a liquidity cluster then closes back inside the range — indicating institutional order fills. A confirmed sweep introduces reversal risk, though direction depends on broader structure.
POC — Point of Control
The price level with the highest estimated trading activity in the analyzed period. Price frequently gravitates toward or reacts strongly from this level. Price above POC suggests bullish positioning; below suggests bearish.
Value Area (VA)
The price range containing approximately 70% of estimated activity, bounded by Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL). Price trading inside the Value Area is considered "fair value." Trading below VAL indicates bearish displacement.
Position Label
Describes where price is relative to the Value Area: Within value area – above/below POC, Below value area, Above value area, At Point of Control. Used to contextualize price relative to institutional fair value.
RSI — Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator ranging 0–100. Below 30 = oversold. 30–40 = approaching oversold. 40–60 = neutral. 60–70 = approaching overbought. Above 70 = overbought. Used as a confluence layer alongside structural analysis.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence. A positive histogram indicates building bullish momentum. A negative histogram indicates bearish momentum. Interpreted in context of the broader structural bias.
BB — Bollinger Bands
Volatility bands around a moving average. Price near the upper band indicates extended conditions. Price near the lower band indicates compression or potential support. Used to assess volatility context.
MA20 — 20-Period Moving Average
Short-term trend reference. Price above MA20 reflects near-term bullish momentum. Price below reflects bearish short-term conditions.
EMA50 / EMA200 — Golden & Death Cross
EMA50 above EMA200 = Golden Cross (bullish macro structure). EMA50 below EMA200 = Death Cross (bearish macro structure). Death Cross with price above EMA200 = bearish macro with short-term bounce. All three are classified as BEARISH in SiGmatry's EMA analysis.
ATR — Average True Range
Measures average volatility over 14 periods. Used to assess current market range per candle. A higher ATR indicates higher volatility; a lower ATR indicates compression.
Educational disclaimer
All definitions provided here are for educational and informational purposes only. SiGmatry is an AI-powered market analysis platform — outputs are analytical research tools, not financial advice or trade instructions. All analysis levels (Upside, Downside, Risk Boundary) are reference points only and should not be used as direct entry or exit instructions.
